Beware of Lower League Goalscorer Markets

The first day of the Football League is finally upon us, and there are no words to justify the excitement. But here's a quick word of warning to anyone who fancies the Top Goalscorer market in the lower leagues.

Ebanks-Blake had a fantastic season last year, and will lead the Wolves attack in what should be a good season for the black country club. He's a keen favourite to bag a lot of goals, and is considered a good bet to be Top Goalscorer.

The same can be said of Jermain Beckford at Elland Road. Last year in Leeds' desperate attempt to overhaul their points deficit and gain promotion, Beckford earnt a lot of recognition with his ability in front of goal. This year Leeds find themselves as favourites to win League One, and Beckford favourite to be Top Goalscorer.

These players are developing very quickly and a succesful start to the season will bring them a lot of attention. Couple that attention with a side that may be struggling in front of goal in a superior division. We've seen it happen, almost year on year. Premiership sides that struggle early on will desperately look anywhere to find a goalscorer, and their money is always too tempting to a club lower down the footballing pyramid. Here's the kind of scenario I can foresee developing. Stoke City are struggling for points in the early months, and are despite creating the odd chance, are not scoring any goals. Ebanks-Blake however is scoring for fun in the Championship, and looks capable of scoring goals at any level. Come January, Ebanks-Blake finds himself in the Premier League. Your Top Goalscorer bet has now lost. And Stoke will not score enough goals to stay up anyway.

I might be wrong... but it's worth considering.